If Barack Obama needs a diagnosis for his agenda's decline, it's in this lede, improbably dated "Sept. 1, 2009:"
Next week, President Obama is going to give Democrats a health care plan they can begin to sell.
The Obama plan, which Democrats can "begin to sell" after six months of selling the health care Pinto they created without his strong guidance, will include such things as Obama's preferred method of payment for the program and "goals" health care reform must meet, including anti-discrimination rules for insurance companies and the levels of insurance subsidies. In a little sop to liberals, he'll say he kinda digs the public option, but won't insist upon it. Up to this point, the plan sounds much like every vague speech he's given on health care since Day One, but one must read a bit further to what the plan's actually meant to do:
Though officials would not provide the numbers Obama plans to use, they say that the goal is to give his side -- Democrats -- a true presidential plan that they can sell. That includes the rebranding of several consensus initiatives, like the insurance reforms, as his own. The effect of this sales job, if it works, will be to associate the president with parts of the reform bills that are almost certainly likely to pass -- assuming the Senate doesn't bog down.
So, Obama sat back while most of the substantive legislative wrangling happened, spouted platitudes from the bully pulpit while a skeptical public imposed its will on his massive majorities, lost his chance at an abbreviated debate and an August vote, and went on vacation when things really got rough only to descend from the Martha's Vineyard Mountain with tablets inscribed with the more reasonable consensus ideas Congress has been forced to consider since his own ambitious vision tanked so spectacularly.
Stand back, look cool, don't get too involved, wait for things to shake out, adopt eventual consensus as his own idea, claim victory. Yeah, nobody saw this coming, unless of course they had paid attention to his entire career.