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TOPIC: MA-Senate Election "Results and Analysis" (The New York Times 1/19/10)


Diamond

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Posts: 4567
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MA-Senate Election "Results and Analysis" (The New York Times 1/19/10)
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I really like to look at these maps and see the shift..

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Results and Analysis

Results from each township in the Democrats stunning loss in the Massachusetts special election to fill the Senate seat once held by Edward M. Kennedy. Many expected Martha Coakley, the Democratic candidate, to win easily, but over the past month, Scott Brown, the Republican candidate, galvanized the state’s independent voters, seizing on dissatisfaction with the economy, taxes and governmental spending. Related Article »

Map online shows 2010 Senate Special Election by town in MA and 2008 Presidential election map for the same

Where the Democrats Lost Ground

An analysis of the factors which led to the Democrats’ defeat.

Where the Democratic share of the vote dropped the most

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Towns where Democratic share of the vote dropped by more than 15 percent

Compared with the vote for President Obama in 2008, Ms. Coakley lost the most ground in the central and southeastern parts of the state. These more sparsely populated areas have traditionally been the most favorable to Republican candidates. Mr. Brown’s campaign resonated with independents who were anxious about the economy, an important factor in these places, which have the state's highest unemployment rates. These towns have also seen their unemployment rates rise the fastest in the last year.

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Where the Democratic share of the vote dropped the least

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Towns where Democratic share of the vote dropped by less than 10 percent

Mr. Brown's victory was a stunning rebuke to the Democratic Party. In every town across the state, the Democratic share of the vote was down from the 2008 presidential election. The towns with the strongest Obama vote did not shift as much to the right the rest of the state, but that may provide little solace for party leaders. These areas tended to be more densely populated and have residents with higher levels of education.

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Turnout was down, particularly in Democratic areas

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As expected, turnout was depressed for this special election compared with last year’s general election. About 54 percent of registered voters turned out, compared with 73 percent in November 2008. In President Obama’s strongest areas — towns where he received more than 60 percent of the vote — the number of voters was about 30 percent below 2008 levels. In the rest of the state, the number of voters was down just 25 percent. In Boston — one of the strongest areas for Democrats — the number voting fell 35 percent.

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Comparing Brown’s win with the last Republican victory

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Towns where more than 60 percent of registered voters have no party affiliation

Former Gov. Mitt Romney — the last Republican, before Mr. Brown, to win a major statewide election in Massachusetts — succeeded in the 2002 governor’s race by making gains in traditionally Democratic areas while carrying independent voters in the suburbs. Mr. Brown received fewer votes than Mr. Romney in Democratic strongholds like Boston and the surrounding urban areas, but he commanded a larger share of the vote than Mr. Romney in most of the state, especially in areas with a lot of independents.


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Great map comparison tool (click on link) and Fantastic analysis of the map.



-- Edited by Sanders on Wednesday 20th of January 2010 09:54:15 AM

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