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TOPIC: 2010 Gov-TX "Debra Medina’s Texas-size momentum" (Politico 2/12/10)


Diamond

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2010 Gov-TX "Debra Medina’s Texas-size momentum" (Politico 2/12/10)
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"

Debra Medina’s Texas-size momentum

By DAVID CATANESE | 2/12/10 4:45 AM EST

Debra Medina talks at the State Sovereignty Symposium at a hotel in Houston in January.
Debra Medina talks at the State Sovereignty Symposium at a hotel in Houston in January. Photo: AP

A pistol-packing nurse and home-schooler with close ties to Ron Paul is emerging as a wild card who is reordering the dynamics of the March 2 Texas Republican primary for governor.

Powered by tea party support, Debra Medina’s rapid climb is raising the prospect that the three-way GOP primary that includes Gov. Rick Perry and Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison will be decided by an April runoff.

Medina, who has crafted her grass-roots campaign around a sweeping plan to repeal property taxes and an expansion of gun rights, gained significant attention and traction after her colorful appearances alongside Perry and Hutchison in two recent televised debates.

The most recent public polling shows Medina drawing an eye-popping 24 percent, trailing the front-running Perry by 15 percentage points but tracking within just 4 percentage points of Hutchison. Among self-identified conservatives, she performs even better, outpolling Hutchison 25 percent to 23 percent.

“It’s been a year of ‘you can’t,’ and we continue to do. It’s a pretty exciting place to be. I think people are really ready for limited government,” Medina told POLITICO.

“The bulk of our support is from people who have not voted before in a primary. If they vote in this primary, we win this race,” she said.

Despite the momentum, many Republicans say that’s an unlikely prospect.(Emphasis added)

For one thing, Perry has held formidable polling leads in his quest for an unprecedented third term while carving out a contingent of the tea party movement for himself.

And while Medina boasts of reeling in more individual donations than Perry or Hutchison during the month of January, she reported having just $68,000 remaining to spend at month’s end. That cash-on-hand deficit will prohibit her from seriously competing in the television advertising wars, which are integral in the homestretch of a competitive campaign in a state as large as Texas.

“The candidates that are well-funded will be able to get their messages out through commercials and large get-out-the-vote activities. This will have a significant impact come Election Day,” said Texas Republican National Committeewoman Borah Van Dormolen.

Further, while few doubt Medina has surged into double digits as Hutchison’s numbers have slumped, some believe her support level in the latest survey is inflated.

“I don’t think that’s a sustainable number for Medina against two pretty well-known brand names,” said Bill Hillsman, a Minneapolis-based political operative who specializes in outsider campaigns and advised Jesse Ventura’s successful third-party run for governor of Minnesota. “I think Medina’s numbers are probably artificially high right now. It’s a protest vote more than anything else. I think she’s probably got low double-digit support.”

"



-- Edited by Sanders on Friday 12th of February 2010 10:08:53 PM

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Diamond

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Also, people found out she's a birther, which turned many away. Too bad. Guess this is a touchy subject for some.

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Diamond

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Kbentleyis wrote:

Also, people found out she's a birther, which turned many away. Too bad. Guess this is a touchy subject for some.


Yes. Most Americans want the issue about electability to be sorted by the process of primary and general election, and not be left as an unaddressed question once the president assumes office.  Most Americans tend to rally for a sitting President to succeed.  So, a birther may get a lot of pushback from that majority sentiment.

-- Edited by Sanders on Friday 12th of February 2010 12:55:57 PM

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KB, I went searching for anything on Media as a birther and could not find anything.

However, I see some questions as to whether she is a "9/11 Truther" and that seem to have come up in a radio interview with Glenn Beck Yesterday 2/11/10 where she did not lie about it, not affirm it fully. Glenn Beck ruled her out and declared pretty much that Rick Perry would win.  Today on his radio show, Glenn Beck once again discusses Who to support in Texas. Sounds like Pat does not like Glenn's conclusion that Rick Perry will win.

Glenn wanted to Medina about both "9/11 Truther" and "birther" and did not get to the latter.  He did not get past her answer on "9/11 Truther" and seems to have dismissed her on the basis of her answer not being a clear "no".  Here is what Glenn Beck said in conclusion  (I have not listened; I dont listen to his radio show, but can expect that this came with a lot of energy as this is the concluding statement on this article).

I'm fighting for the Constitution and I think you are, too. I want an American candidate with American values to run for office. I don't need to agree with them on everything. But for me, hmmm, the government blew up the World Trade Center, Bush was a killer. I think that's a deal breaker. We just need to find out who these people are and what they believe because it's easy to run an ad campaign that says, "I'm just like you." No, no. As I found out yesterday, no, she's not, uh uh. No, really not just like me.



-- Edited by Sanders on Saturday 13th of February 2010 09:55:42 AM

__________________
Democracy needs defending - SOS Hillary Clinton, Sept 8, 2010
Democracy is more than just elections - SOS Hillary Clinton, Oct 28, 2010

Madam Secretary Blog at ForeignPolicy.com
Project Vote Smart - Stay informed and engaged!


Diamond

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dallasnews.com
"Mark Davis: Can Medina recover from unmitigated disaster? 06:47 PM CST on Thursday, February 11, 2010

(WEB EXCLUSIVE)

If I had not developed considerable respect for Debra Medina, I would not bother to offer urgent advice on how to save the political future she may have torpedoed Thursday morning.

Talk show host Glenn Beck asked if she was a "9/11 truther" – that is, a member of the deranged community that says the World Trade Center towers were brought down not by terrorists hijackers but rather a U.S. government hungry to spark a nation to war by killing its own people.

Her answer was an unmitigated disaster. What we have to figure out now is what she has revealed. Was it just a profoundly clumsy misstep on the path of a neophyte candidate, or was it a genuine willingness to give benefit of the doubt to one of the most demented beliefs of our day?

"I don't have all of the evidence there," she answered, using breath she should have used to instantly dismiss the insane ravings of people so far gone that they believe the jetliner impacts into the towers are diabolical concoctions meant to hide the truth: government sabotage.

It got worse. "I think some very good questions have been raised in that regard, there are some very good arguments, and I think the American people have not seen all of the evidence there."

In the dampened quiet of the morning snowfall, two sounds rolled across the Texasprairie: the collective gasp of sensible people who thought they were backing a sensible candidate, and the sickening thud of a once-promising campaign dashed against the rocks.

Can it be saved?

Only if she stops the bleeding immediately with a tourniquet fashioned from deep humility and skillful self-correction.

That presumes that she is not in fact tolerant of the 9/11 "truth" psychosis. If she is, then she has little business in polite society, much less high elected office.

But I'm going to give her benefit of the doubt. She has not struck me as a lunatic in any other way, and we have spoken often. That leaves the only other possibility, which is the nightmare combination of an unexpected question about something she was wholly unprepared to address, leading to an unthinking ramble into unintended territory.

Problem is, given time to examine the hole she had dug, she issued a statement that contained precisely none of the contrition her supporters desperately needed to hear.

Her press release should have contained about 30 words: "I am so sorry. I was exhausted and my brain had turned to jelly. Let me make clear today and forever that in no way do I share the inexcusable conspiratorial fantasies of these people."

Instead, after offering perfunctory comfort that she did not harbor their beliefs, she said the question was a "surprise" because it is not relevant to the campaign. Wow. One hopes that someone seeking to run a state is not so easily bamboozled by a subject plucked from the topical periphery.

Then: "The real underlying question here is whether or not people have the right to question the government."

No, that is most certainly not the question. Despite its execrable views, the truther cult has every right to spew its pathological delusions. The question is whether Debra Medina has committed political suicide.

"She is not a 9/11 truther" was the single-sentence reply to the e-mail I immediately sent her campaign. Fair enough, but not good enough. Rationality requires not just a certificate of non-membership in that disturbed subculture. It requires instant and clear condemnation for a set of beliefs that are an unparalleled combination of baseless venom, stunning gullibility and juvenile stubbornness.

If she is of the proper mind on this, why did she not say so immediately? Since newcomers to the punishing world of campaigning often make stupendous mistakes, she needs to own up to this one and make it right. The people who viewed her as a worthy voice for courageous, populist conservatism are waiting.

Mark Davis is heard weekdays from 8:30 to 11 a.m. on WBAP-AM, News/Talk 820. His e-mail address is mdavis@wbap.com.

"

=========================================

Got to say this sounds very bad for Medina.


__________________
Democracy needs defending - SOS Hillary Clinton, Sept 8, 2010
Democracy is more than just elections - SOS Hillary Clinton, Oct 28, 2010

Madam Secretary Blog at ForeignPolicy.com
Project Vote Smart - Stay informed and engaged!
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