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Hillarysworld -> Obama and Congress -> Barack Obama's Jobless Recovery (RealClearMarkets 9/6/09)
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TOPIC: Barack Obama's Jobless Recovery (RealClearMarkets 9/6/09)
JustTheFacts


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Barack Obama's Jobless Recovery (RealClearMarkets 9/6/09)
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The jobless-recovery theme re-emerged on Friday with the arrival of a disappointing employment report. The daunting number was the unemployment rate, which jumped from 9.4 percent in July to 9.7 percent in August. This is a big-versus-small-business issue. Sort of the haves versus the have-nots.

The large companies are gradually recovering as a result of major cost-cutting, inventory reduction, and a lean-and-mean return to profitability and high productivity. So the payroll survey registered a 216,000 job loss, the smallest drop in over a year.

However, the household survey, which picks up small, owner-operated, LLC/S-Corp-type businesses, registered a devastating 392,000 job loss, which follows losses of 155,000 and 374,000 in the prior two months. This is the source of the unemployment-rate jump, as 466,000 newly unemployed were scored in the report.

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So while the big companies are getting healthier, the smaller firms are being left in the dust. Unfortunately, small businesses provide most of the new job creation in the United States.

Veep Joe Biden is out there saying the Obama stimulus plan has saved or created 150,000 jobs in the administration's first 100 days and another 600,000 in its second 100 days. But he sure isn't talking about small-business jobs.

In fact, it's hard to know what he's talking about. Uncle Sam has borrowed $388 billion in the second quarter and is scheduled to borrow $406 billion in the third quarter and nearly $500 billion in the fourth. In order to provide $152 billion in so-called fiscal stimulus, the government is draining close to $800 billion from the private-sector savings supply -- $800 billion that will not be invested in new-business enterprises, including small businesses.

Borrowing from Peter to redistribute to Paul is not fiscal stimulus. It's a fiscal depressant. Small businesses are having enough trouble getting their hands on credit. And now they can't find enough capital for new start-ups. The government prospers, but the small-business sector sinks.

Then there are all the tax and regulatory threats related to health-care and energy reform. Until Mr. Obama retreats from his plan for a government takeover of the health-care sector, and a cap-and-trade program that will cripple the energy sector, the cost of hiring the new job will continue to rise.

http://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2009/09/05/barack_obamas_jobless_recovery_97391.html



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Ebinger


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Oh, geez, macroeconomics. There IS no recovery at all yet, the GDP declined last quarter. The US is mired in a deep, deep recession, which the stimulus money is NOT helping with, mostly because it consists of transfer payments for the most part.  The jobs "saved" are almost all involved with federal government, then there's the suspension of COLA, the looming expiration of the Bush tax cuts, and the recent increase in the minimum wage. All of this (along with the psychological factors mentioned) are hurting the economy.

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Hillarysmygirl16


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So the government spent all that money and the stimulas isn't helping.

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Calico


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Ebinger wrote:

Oh, geez, macroeconomics. There IS no recovery at all yet, the GDP declined last quarter. The US is mired in a deep, deep recession, which the stimulus money is NOT helping with, mostly because it consists of transfer payments for the most part.  The jobs "saved" are almost all involved with federal government, then there's the suspension of COLA, the looming expiration of the Bush tax cuts, and the recent increase in the minimum wage. All of this (along with the psychological factors mentioned) are hurting the economy.


Exactly.  The economy is not recovering at all.  It is all "double talk" to try to fool the public, but the informed know better.  And, really anyone can just look around and see for themselves.  Even Wal-mart's parking lot is nearly vacant in some places that I have been . . . and, that is not normal at all.  Stores are like "ghost towns".  And, I have head they are not replacing workers that leave. 

We are in a recession, no doubt about it.  I have talked to others who expect things to get worse, much worse . . .

 



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Alex


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Too bad Hillary isn't in charge.no

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