Who'll win the independent vote? Can the Democratic Party get voters to the polls? And what impact will Obama's visit have? See some of the factors that will decide your next senator.
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Running scared, running hard
Democrats, GOP both driven by idea that Brown could win
Video clip By Matt Viser and Eric Moskowitz Globe Staff / January 17, 2010 Mike Urbonas was waving blue-and-red campaign signs for Democrat Martha Coakley yesterday in downtown Melrose, hoping to give the campaign a jolt and help derail her surging Republican opponent, Scott Brown.
“It just didn’t need to be this close,’’ Urbonas, a 46-year-old from Wakefield, said somewhat wistfully.
Tommy White, a 23-year-old Brown supporter from Newton, could hardly believe it, either.
“Scrape and claw for a few more days, and hopefully we can get this,’’ said White, who held a Brown sign in Quincy wearing stars-and-stripes sweat pants.
The divergent emotions illustrate how a once-sleepy contest for US Senate has become, in the final weekend of the race, unimaginably close, with Coakley and her party doing everything they can to hold on to a reliably Democratic seat. As both candidates barnstormed Eastern Massachusetts yesterday, each was forced to adapt to a new reality: Coakley’s campaign sought to rally its base, while Brown rode the fervent energy of supporters, giddy at the prospect of a monumental upset.
“In the past 24 hours, the lights have come on,’’ Ellen Malcolm, founder of Emily’s List, which supports women candidates who back abortion rights, said while campaigning with Coakley in Melrose. “Democrats have woken up.’’
On both sides, the stakes were abundantly clear: a victory for Brown would reshape Massachusetts politics and potentially quash Democratic-led efforts to remake health care.
Democrats are so nervous about losing the seat once held by Edward M. Kennedy that President Obama, who has a lot riding on Tuesday’s outcome, will campaign for Coakley this afternoon at Northeastern University’s Cabot Center. Doors to the event, which is free to the public, open at 1 p.m., and Obama is scheduled to take the stage two hours later.
Yesterday, Coakley visited union halls in Boston, a deli in Lynn, and a power company in Gloucester, among other stops north of the city. She started the day with Vicki Kennedy, Kennedy’s widow, at the IBEW hall in Dorchester, before a cheering crowd of union members.
“We have a fight on our hands,’’ Robert Haynes, president of the Massachusetts AFL-CIO, said as he delivered a stemwinder at full voice. “There’s nothing less than the future of the labor movement at stake in this election.’’
In the afternoon, Coakley supporters gathered nervously in Gloucester.
WASHINGTON - The feverish excitement that propelled Barack Obama and scores of other Democrats to victory in 2008 has all but evaporated, worrying party leaders who are struggling to invigorate the base before Tuesday’s Massachusetts Senate race and November’s critical midterm contests, pollsters and party activists said.
President Obama’s scheduled visit to the Bay State on behalf of Democratic candidate Martha Coakley today, a rescue bid planned suddenly by the White House last week after Republican Scott Brown pulled even or ahead in some polls, will be a key test of the president’s ability to reenergize his dispirited party.
But the challenges to getting an enthusiastic turnout for Democrats in 2010 are huge. Young voters and left-wing Democrats have become frustrated with progress on the Obama agenda in Washington. Polls show that Obama’s popularity among younger Americans is down.
“People are rightfully disenchanted’’ with the way things are going in Washington, said Michael Vastola, 21, a Tufts University senior and active College Democrat. “I’m personally concerned, because I hope they keep their interest in this upcoming election.’’
While many young voters imagined that an Obama presidency would mean a speedy closure of Guantanamo Bay prison, a wind-down of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and a health care plan that would, at least, provide a government insurance plan to compete with the private sector, they instead are frustrated at the slow pace of change, Vastola and others said.
“There was this expectation that this was going to be like a Hollywood movie. He was a candidate almost fictionalized from day one,’’ Boston-based Democratic political consultant Michael Goldman said of Obama. “Does it make me frustrated? It does. But it’s reality, it’s the world as it really is, not the fantasy.’’
The trend threatens to do serious damage to the Democrats this fall as they seek to hang onto their majorities in Congress. With “tea party’’ activists and other conservatives eager to vent their anger over Democratic policies, low Democratic turnout could be devastating to the majority party. While a GOP takeover of either chamber of Congress seemed highly unlikely even a month ago, Democratic officials, spooked by developments in deep-blue Massachusetts, fear that Republicans could score big upsets this fall.
The White House is clearly disheartened by the attacks it is getting from the left flank of the party.
“I don’t know why some segments of political observers don’t seem to be as motivated. There’s a lot at stake. There’s a lot at stake in the election in Massachusetts; there’s a lot at stake in what’s debated every day on Capitol Hill. What’s at stake is whether we’re going to go forward with ideas for an economic recovery,’’ said White House press secretary Robert Gibbs.