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TOPIC: Poll: Independents Drive GOP Midterm Advantage (Brian Montopoli, CBSnews.com, 10/27/10)


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Poll: Independents Drive GOP Midterm Advantage (Brian Montopoli, CBSnews.com, 10/27/10)
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Poll: Independents Drive GOP Midterm Advantage

With the midterm elections less than a week away, a new CBS News/New York Times poll finds that Republicans continue to hold an advantage over Democrats in the generic House ballot. Forty-six percent of likely voters say they plan to vote Republican, while 40 percent say they will vote Democrat.

The advantage can be attributed in large part to independents, who are breaking hard for the GOP. Forty-seven percent of independent likely voters say they plan to vote Republican, while just 32 percent plan to vote Democrat. Seventeen percent haven't made up their minds.

More than four in five Democrats and Republicans, meanwhile, say they are sticking with their party.

A majority of likely voters say their House vote is a referendum on President Obama, and more are voting against the president than for him. Thirty-two percent are casting a vote against Mr. Obama, while 22 percent are casting their vote to support him. Forty-two percent say their vote is about something else.

The president has been traveling the country to stump for candidates ahead of the midterms, but it may not be much help: a majority of likely voters (56 percent) say Mr. Obama's support for a candidate has no impact on their vote. And while 14 percent say Mr. Obama's support makes them more likely to back a candidate, 29 percent say it makes then less likely to do so.

Congress continues to suffer from abysmal approval ratings: Just one in ten likely voters say they approve of the job Congress is doing, and four in five say most members should be replaced.

While most likely voters say they are not more likely to cast a ballot for someone who they see as having extreme beliefs of differing views on major issues this year, nearly half say they are more willing to vote for a candidate from a different party than they usually support.

**********

Interesting article about voter trends this year.

It seems that centrists, moderates and Independents are fed up with the way the extreme agenda (at least in pursuit) that the Obama Administration has put forth, and so will back the GOP this year. That's the way to do it, at least in the sense that you keep any one party off their feet.

Thankfully, sensible moderates are using their vote to send the same message to the Democrats that they sent to Republicans in 2006 and 2008.

I also get the impression that many of these independents and moderates may be Hillary supporters. I remember reading back a while ago that the largest percentage of gain in Independents came from former Dems, my guess being Hillary voters. Now while some misinformed centrists, Hillary Dems, and PUMAs became Obama Democratic cheerleaders -- something that was heart breaking and very sad to observe -- it's good to know that some still get that principle comes before party...and when your party is not living by its values, then you must do what is correct for the country as a whole to persevere.


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Eminence wrote:

Interesting article about voter trends this year.

It seems that centrists, moderates and Independents are fed up with the way the extreme agenda (at least in pursuit) that the Obama Administration has put forth, and so will back the GOP this year. That's the way to do it, at least in the sense that you keep any one party off their feet.

Thankfully, sensible moderates are using their vote to send the same message to the Democrats that they sent to Republicans in 2006 and 2008.

I also get the impression that many of these independents and moderates may be Hillary supporters. I remember reading back a while ago that the largest percentage of gain in Independents came from former Dems, my guess being Hillary voters. Now while some misinformed centrists, Hillary Dems, and PUMAs became Obama Democratic cheerleaders -- something that was heart breaking and very sad to observe -- it's good to know that some still get that principle comes before party...and when your party is not living by its values, then you must do what is correct for the country as a whole to persevere.



But here is what is upsetting to me about this whole election.  The "Blue Dogs" are also getting the boot because the moderates of the party and independents who left in 2008 feel the ONLY way the Dems will get a clue is wipe them out "en masse".  That is not going to bode well for the moderate JFK/WJC/HRC Dems in the future.  It seems for both parties, this game has become an all or nothing scenario that is just not reflective of the majority of the voting populace. 

And neither party seems to get that they won not because they were best, but because the voters decided to "correct" the extemism of the party in power.

The real question voters need to ask themselves on 11/3/10 is how to convince those elected that we are so over this far left/right propaganda and want these folks to do something truly unique....WORK TOGETHER AND FIND THE COMMON PLACE for the good of all the people.  Note I said the good, not the best.  In this diversified nation of opinions, the good for all IS the best we can expect....and we need to start demanding just that across party lines.

 



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VotedHillary wrote:

 

Eminence wrote:

Interesting article about voter trends this year.

It seems that centrists, moderates and Independents are fed up with the way the extreme agenda (at least in pursuit) that the Obama Administration has put forth, and so will back the GOP this year. That's the way to do it, at least in the sense that you keep any one party off their feet.

Thankfully, sensible moderates are using their vote to send the same message to the Democrats that they sent to Republicans in 2006 and 2008.

I also get the impression that many of these independents and moderates may be Hillary supporters. I remember reading back a while ago that the largest percentage of gain in Independents came from former Dems, my guess being Hillary voters. Now while some misinformed centrists, Hillary Dems, and PUMAs became Obama Democratic cheerleaders -- something that was heart breaking and very sad to observe -- it's good to know that some still get that principle comes before party...and when your party is not living by its values, then you must do what is correct for the country as a whole to persevere.



But here is what is upsetting to me about this whole election.  The "Blue Dogs" are also getting the boot because the moderates of the party and independents who left in 2008 feel the ONLY way the Dems will get a clue is wipe them out "en masse".  That is not going to bode well for the moderate JFK/WJC/HRC Dems in the future.  It seems for both parties, this game has become an all or nothing scenario that is just not reflective of the majority of the voting populace. 

And neither party seems to get that they won not because they were best, but because the voters decided to "correct" the extemism of the party in power.

The real question voters need to ask themselves on 11/3/10 is how to convince those elected that we are so over this far left/right propaganda and want these folks to do something truly unique....WORK TOGETHER AND FIND THE COMMON PLACE for the good of all the people.  Note I said the good, not the best.  In this diversified nation of opinions, the good for all IS the best we can expect....and we need to start demanding just that across party lines.

 

 




That much is true VH....I have seen many conservatives act like they are getting their message reaffirmed, which makes me want to tell them 'NOOO!!! that couldn't be further from the truth. "It's not that people actually want you back in power, it's just that they don't like the other guy. You know, the same reason the Dems won in 2008??"

But, they just don't get it. I hope that maybe as the hands of power change, more and more people will get it but I am not convinced in the slightest. One wonders just how many times they will have to learn the same lesson again and again.



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