The deal the President struck with Republican leaders is an abomination.
It will cost $900 billion over the next two years — larger than the bailout of Wall Street, GM, and Chrysler put together, larger than the stimulus package, larger than anything that’s come out of Washington in years.
It makes a mockery of deficit reduction. Worse, the lion’s share of that $900 billion will go to the very rich. Families with incomes of over $1 million will reap an average of about $70,000, while middle-class families earning $50,000 a year will get an average of around $1,500. In addition, the deal just about eviscerates the estate tax — yanking the exemption up to $5 million per person and a maximum rate of 35 percent.
And for what?
Wealthy families won’t spend nearly as large a share of what they get out of this deal as will middle-class and working-class families, so it doesn’t do much to stimulate the economy.
The deal further concentrates income and wealth in America — when it’s already more concentrated than at any time in the last 80 years.
The bits and pieces the President got in return — extended unemployment benefits, a continuation of certain small tax benefits for the middle class — are peanuts. After last week’s awful jobs report, Senate Republicans would have been forced to extend unemployment insurance anyway.
It’s politically nuts. Polls showed most Americans are against extending the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy.
It would have been a defining issue for the President to use to show whose side he’s on (the middle and working class) and whose side the Republicans are on (not the middle and working class). And given that the House turns over to Republicans in January, the President probably won’t have another chance like this one.
It loses him even more of his “base” — by which I mean people who think of themselves as Democrats and are committed to the ideal of equal opportunity and don’t want the nation to become even more of a plutocracy.
It makes him look weak — Republicans got everything they wanted. And when a President looks weak, he is weak.
House and Senate Democrats should reject this abomination.
The President should get himself new advisors.
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We shall see. I am not going to hope for anything anymore.
So I agree with the following. The big affirmation here is to Bush-Cheney.
I know they weren't the best of friends when they left Washington, but I bet former President Bush and Dick Cheney at least had a phone call tonight congratulating one another on one of the great heists in history. In 2001, they knew they couldn't make their budget-busting tax cuts for the rich permanent, so they agreed to phase them out in 2010, leaving the political consequences to another administration. Even with that chicanery, the Bush tax cuts were divisive enough that they required Cheney to cast a tie-breaking vote in the Senate. No problem. That's how Republicans play: They reward their wealthy base.
Increasingly it seems, Democrats, too, reward the wealthy in their base, and ignore their much larger constituency of working and middle class voters, struggling in the economy destroyec by Bush and Cheney. President Obama's compromise was a long time coming, telegraphed for months, but depressing nonetheless. The good news is that he got a little bit more for caving than some Democrats expected. It's great that unemployment insurance may be extended 13 months; many Americans will appreciate a payroll tax cut, an extended Earned Income Tax Credit and the latest patch of the Alternative Minimum Tax.
But the concessions Obama apparently won from the GOP shouldn't obscure the fact that his party lost, and their party won. I want to agree with my colleague Steve Kornacki, who argues that in the end, with the package of small but not insignificant stimulative programs that are part of the deal, Obama got the best result he could. Steve may be right, but I still think a sharply drawn battle over both the budget-busting tax cuts for the wealthy, and extending benefits for the unemployed could have – in some version of reality, maybe not ours – strengthened the Democratic party brand, to use a word I don't love, and reminded confused voters who amd what we stand for.
Meanwhile, after the vast transfer of wealth to the top 1 percent of Americans in the last 30 years, this deal makes me feel like I live in an oligarchy. (I laid all of this out in this essay on "Winner Take All Politics" exactly a month ago.) To get a little bit of help for the unemployed, we have to deliver bushels of cash to the wealthiest Americans and their GOP agents?